[This is the original version of The War After the Election written in October of 2020 and published on November 2.]

In June of 2020 the Transition Integrity Project ran a series of political scenario exercises (or what the military would call “war games”) on various outcomes for the 2020 presidential election. “We anticipate lawsuits, divergent media narratives, attempts to stop the counting of ballots, and protests drawing people from both sides,” the TIP report summarized. “The potential for violent conflict is high.”

On top of this, Nils Gilman, one of the TIP’s co-founders said in an interview with Vox afterwards, “We’re…